Friday, September 4, 2009

"Israel Alone" published by the Israel National News!

My latest op-ed "Israel Alone" was published on Wednesday by the Israel National News and can be read here.

Thanks for reading!
-Rob

Tuesday, September 1, 2009

70 Years Later: Israel Alone

By: Robert D. Onley

On September 1st, 1939, exactly seventy years ago today, the world knew little of Hitler’s threats against the Jewish people, and less still of the evil that would result from his invasion of Poland to start the Second World War. Indeed Nazi Germany’s aggressive military posturing against Austria and Czechoslovakia in the late 1930’s effectively concealed Hitler’s dream of a “Judenrein” Europe and hid what would eventually become the most ruthless campaign of murder, genocide and violence seen in human history.

Truly it was not until at least 1945 – when the war ended – that the rest of the world understood and saw the absolute venom Hitler unleashed upon Jews in particular. While there were rumours, suspicions and even aerial photographs of the death camps that ended so many lives, it was not until these death camps were opened that the world’s leaders witnessed the sheer, unadulterated evil that humanity was capable of organizing in the modern age.

Today, numerous threats are facing the Jewish people and their homeland Israel – threats that bear undeniable resemblance to those that similarly preceded the Second World War. However unlike in 1939, today the malicious, delusional desires of Israel’s enemies are being publicly, blatantly and aggressively spread across the world, emanating specifically from the Islamic Republic of Iran, and enacted by its proxy armies Hamas and Hizbullah. Thus for those who intrinsically hate the Jewish people today, instead of having to hunt for Jews scattered across numerous nations throughout Europe as Hitler did, a large number of Jews can be found “conveniently” in one location – Israel.

This “convenience” means that once again, unlike in 1939, their latent and literal threats toward Israel are clearer, more definitive and disturbingly deliberate than ever could have been the case during the Third Reich. While Hitler’s “Final Solution” was ultimately kept secret until the 1942 Wannsee Conference, the leaders of Iran today share a public desire to see Israel “wiped off the map”, and have for several decades. The veracity of Iran’s threat to Israel is embodied by Iran’s repeated military parades of enormous Shahab-3 missiles draped with the words “DEATH TO ISRAEL” and “DEATH TO AMERICA.” These same missiles could quite literally be nuclear-tipped within the coming months.

As such, while U.S. President Obama and the EU actively pursue what are perceived to be “long overdue” negotiations with Iran this September, it is with an incredibly critical and cynical eye that Israel must view any supposed “progress” set to emerge from these talks. After years of blatant proof of Iran’s evil intentions, virulent threats toward Israel, and covert military nuclear development, Israel holds much legitimate pessimism for any “progress” the Iranians might package for the West inside further layers of deceit.

Imagine Adolf Hitler meeting with Neville Chamberlain at Munich in 1938 once again, but this time with the meeting hall decorated with enormous banners that read “DEATH TO THE JEWS” and “JUDENREIN EUROPE” - only to have Chamberlain emerge from his talks with Hitler to somehow announce “peace for our time” nonetheless. The lunacy of such an outcome – when the warning signs and banners were so visible before even entering negotiations – would have led many to question the wisdom of negotiating with Hitler in the first place.

With the unfair advantage of hindsight, we know today that Chamberlain was at the least a bit naive and that Hitler was a liar. However Chamberlain did not have enormous banners that plainly and grotesquely stated Hitler’s goals when he entered into negotiations. In contrast, Western leaders, diplomats and concerned Israeli defence planners have had a panoply warning signs about Iran’s true intentions - signs that should stand the hairs up on the necks of any official possessing serious visions of finding a compromise with Iran this month.

No, Ahmadinejad is not exactly Hitler and Iran today is certainly not the military machine that 1938 Nazi Germany was, if one directly compares the two. What is true of this comparison however - and inarguably so - is that the threats toward Israel that have already emerged from Iran are far more menacing than Hitler’s ever were, given Iran’s ongoing defiant pursuit of nuclear weapons technology and its already far-reaching missile capability.

It has been said that what Hitler took six years to accomplish against the Jews in World War Two, Ahmadinejad could make happen in less than six minutes with a single nuclear-tipped missile launched from Iran. Others, including this writer, have argued that a more accurate time-frame might be just six seconds, were Iran able to smuggle a nuclear weapon to Hamas in the Gaza Strip for use directly against Israel.

U.S. defence planners, intelligence officers and the State Department may shrug at the sight of “DEATH TO AMERICA” banners hung on Iranian Shahab-3 missiles as generic anti-American bluster, but their Israeli counterparts simply cannot do the same for Iran’s “DEATH TO ISRAEL” monikers - not when every single Israeli military facility is within striking distance of those same Iranian missiles. This is not to mention the entire physical landmass of Israel which remains subject to random rocket attacks from Iran’s Hamas and Hizbullah proxies.

As such Iran’s anti-Israel rhetoric – be it from President Ahmadinejad, Ayatollah Khamenei, or various other crazed Iranian leaders – is not viewed by Israel the same way that the United States or the EU might more ‘idealistically’ interpret it. Neither still are Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s repeated statements that the ‘end is coming for Israel’, evidenced by his “World Without Zionism” conference, his multiple Holocaust denials and his purported desire to “wipe Israel off the map”, as the former Ayatollah Khomeini stated.

To top-off the absolute legitimacy of Israel’s worst fears about Iran, Ahmadinejad’s fanatical ravings about the coming “Hidden 12th Imam” at the UN General Assembly in September 2007 provided stark proof that Iran’s leaders mean what they say, no matter how insane and provocative. Would any other national leader step on to the world stage to declare that the end of the world is coming, and that they expect it to happen “in the near future”?

Why then does President Obama entertain the prospect that Ahmadinejad might suddenly change his apocalyptic preparations for the supposed "return of the Hidden Imam"? Particularly after Iran’s election fiasco and its suppression of protests, any dreams of reining in the reckless Iranian Republic should have been dashed for good. Obama’s September 15th deadline for Iran to agree to negotiations could bear fruit for concerned Israelis hoping against hope, but Israel should not hold its breath.

Ultimately it is the ruthless lethality of a single nuclear weapon, and the potential for its random, indiscriminate use against Israel, which is precisely why Israel - and Israel alone - must be prepared to act defensively in eliminating the Iranian nuclear threat. For if the United States stalls, and Obama pleads for more time and patience on Iran, the nuclear timeline will pass and Israel will be left with no choice but to unilaterally stop Iran.

Not since 1939 has a threat to the Jewish people been so obvious, so particular and so lethal. In light of the Jewish people’s tragic past, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu recently stated that the lesson of the Holocaust is that evil must be “nipped in the bud”. But just as the world held out hope for peace after the Munich Agreement in 1938, so too it might this September after negotiations with Iran.

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu cannot be assuaged by American and Iranian pleasantries. Seventy years after Hitler began his attempt to wipe them out, the Jewish people have the advantage of hindsight and the ghastly lessons of history to make the dreaded decision that will preserve Israel’s future today. This future is why Israel will fight, even if it means fighting alone.

Robert D. Onley

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

"Gates Goes to Israel" published on the Israel National News - July 28, 2009

My latest op-ed was published today by the Israel National News and can be read here: http://www.israelnationalnews.com/Articles/Article.aspx/8946

I am tremendously honoured to be published by the INN in Israel, and hope to continue my work with the INN team as I enter law school this fall.

In my op-ed I discuss the necessity for the American diplomatic team to focus on the Iranian nuclear question given the immediacy of the problem, and leave the recent settlement spat alone for a while.

Check it out and leave any feedback!

Saturday, July 25, 2009

Gates Goes to Israel

US Defence Secretary Robert Gates will make a brief 6-hour trip to the Holy Land this week to meet with Israeli officials to discuss settlement activity, US-Israeli relations and the enigma of the Iranian nuclear crisis. Along with Gates will be US mid-east envoy George Mitchell, National Security Advisor James Jones and the venerable Dennis Ross.


Gates’ all-star American diplomat team packs considerable punch to potentially push Israel into supporting President Obama’s aggressive peace plan. However no matter who negotiates on either side, in the realm of international relations, progress and history are rarely made in a single meeting when two nations are not united to resolve the same issue.


This statement has been more evident throughout the tragic course of the Israel-Palestine dispute than in any other conflict, with Israel and the Palestinian Authority perpetually disagreeing on the most foundational elements of a peace agreement. In many cases, Israel and the United States have similarly disagreed on how best to approach the final-status peace deal, or on brokering a regional foreign policy problem.


Today the US and Israel find themselves locked at yet another impasse, this time with the world openly siding with President Obama in calling for an abrupt halt to settlement activity as a precondition to peace negotiations. Over the last week voices from around the globe –from Russia, Germany and France– called on Israel to immediately stop settlement activity in the eastern Jerusalem neighborhood of Shimon Hatzadik.


Rebuffing these cries, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu boldly declared, “Our sovereignty in Jerusalem is indisputable... I wish to make this clear - the united Jerusalem is the capital of the Jewish people in the State of Israel.” He continued, saying Israel “cannot accept the idea that Jews will not have the right to live and purchase in all parts of Jerusalem.”


Netanyahu’s statement strategically attempted to close the settlement door in a deft effort to dictate this week’s agenda with the US. However with Gates leading the incoming American diplomatic team, Netanyahu’s open defiance of international demands to halt settlement activity has the potential to embitter the American position on settlements and distract US attention away from Israel’s greatest concern – Iran’s rapidly-progressing nuclear program.


For Israel, the cold, calculated reality is this: a settlement spat threatens only to delay Obama’s dream of a peace plan during his term – Netanyahu knows this. Conversely, further delay in dealing with Iran’s nuclear program threatens to one-day-annihilate the entire State of Israel while pumping nearly forty percent of the world’s oil supply through a trembling Iranian nuclear guillotine. At the same time, a final-status peace deal is only good so long as Israel still exists to be a part of it – this final point is what keeps Netanyahu up at night.


The contrast in the relative immediacy of the two issues could not be starker. Even with a settlement halt, Netanyahu recognizes the multitude of physical military threats and intractable security dilemmas literally on each of Israel’s short borders. Israeli defence officials have clearly considered the odds that Hamas will continue to fire rockets from Gaza and that Hezbullah will keep stocking up on long-range missiles for a future battle in Israel’s north – settlement freeze or not.


Israel’s recent past provides damning evidence for this inevitability. In 2004-5, under the persuasion of then President Bush, Prime Minister Ariel Sharon completed a unilateral withdrawal of Israeli forces from the Gaza Strip along with the evacuation of Jewish settlements there in the greatest test of the “land for peace” and “settlement freeze” initiatives ever seen. The violent failure of these plans in Gaza over the last five years and the resultant rocket attacks from Hamas provide tangible evidence for Israeli leaders to ‘delay’ today’s settlement freeze push from the US and other nations.


Israeli leaders such as Prime Minister Netanyahu and Minister of Foreign Affairs Avigdor Lieberman have witnessed multiple international Mid-East peace initiatives miserably fail over various timelines and many agonizing decades – once again regardless of the status of Israeli settlements. Thus while the world pushes the US through back channels to hammer Israel into stopping settlement activity yet another time this week, the issue barely registers a pulse in Israel’s top defence circles when compared to discussions on how best to halt Iran’s nuclear program.


As such, unless the Americans actively and purposefully engage Israel’s legitimate concerns about Iran’s nuclear program and drop their recent aggressive posturing on the Israeli settlement issue, the entire US diplomatic trip risks aggrandizing relatively inconsequential settlement issues while blindly ignoring the far more menacing and pertinent danger lurking deep within Iran.


No one would suggest the US is entirely ignoring the Iranian nuclear issue. However while President Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton make public calls for “negotiations without preconditions” with Iran, progress has been painfully slow for Israelis watching from a land within striking distance of Iran’s Shahab-3 missiles. Obama and Clinton’s foot-dragging also seems to strangely ignore the proximity of Iran to 130000+ US troops in neighbouring Iraq.


The sad reality is that the nuclear timeline is running out fast for the United States or any other nation with hopes of actually negotiating with Iran. Moreover Iran’s defiance of calls for a transparent re-count of their blatantly fraudulent June 12 election once more showcased the immense likelihood of unsuccessful negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program.


Yet despite Iran’s obstinacy and a ticking clock, the world body’s unanimity and adamancy on halting the construction of 20 Israeli apartment buildings will undoubtedly bring tremendous heat on Israel to acquiesce to the Obama all-star team’s demands this week. This intractable focus on Israeli settlement activity delegitimizes Israel’s internal anxiety over the on-going Iranian enrichment of uranium by shifting the focus back on Israel at the worst possible time.


In recent weeks many critical observers have been quick to suggest that the two issues are inextricably linked – that if only the West could persuade Israel on a settlement freeze, then a solution to the Iranian nuclear program might be found as part of a deal. For Israel, this is simply not plausible – one does not follow the other. Nonetheless the US, Russia, France and others continue to unduly press Israel on an entirely separate issue of marginal short-term consequence.


It is perhaps no surprise then that over the last two weeks Israel has quietly -yet publicly- moved two warships and a nuclear submarine through the Suez Canal to the Red Sea, in preparation for potential surgical strikes against Iran’s assorted nuclear targets. The strategic movement of powerful Israeli naval assets is a potent statement to the incoming US Defence Secretary that Israel will continue with its military plans no matter what Gates might bring to the discussion table.


The naval maneuver is also an overt statement that the settlement question is a non-issue for the Israelis at this point in history. Given Israel’s legitimate primacy of focus on the Iran issue, the same should be so for Gates and the rest of the US diplomatic team. It is Iran’s nuclear program – and not Israeli settlements – that must be the US’ sole priority while in Israel; not simply to appease the Israelis, but to act in the United States’ own national security interests as well.


President Obama may grumble with disapproval at this rejection of his hallowed demand for a settlement freeze. What is ignored is that the planet will be a much safer place to begin final-status peace negotiations when the frightening nuclear program of the world’s most fanatical, terror-sponsoring regime in Iran is multilaterally stopped once and for all. Israel should not be forced to halt Iran’s nuclear program by herself; shame on us all when it comes to that point nonetheless.


Robert D. Onley

Thursday, July 9, 2009

Published again! "Shameful Insanity in Iran" on the Israel National News

My latest article "Shameful Insanity in Iran" was published today by the Israel National News.

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/Articles/Article.aspx/8900

Thanks to everyone who read my article here and offered critical insights for the final version!